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Statistics

Explore statistical methods, their assumptions, interpretation and limitations.

Research field

Method family

2SLS Regression

Two-Stage Least Squares is a two-step instrumental-variables estimator that addresses endogeneity, the situation where a regressor is correlated with the error term. In the first stage the endogenous regressor is predicted from instrumental...

A/B Test

An A/B test is a randomized controlled experiment that simultaneously exposes two groups of users to a control variant (A) and a treatment variant (B) in order to determine whether a measured outcome differs significantly between them. The...

ANCOVA

ANCOVA is a parametric hypothesis test that compares the adjusted means of two or more independent groups while statistically controlling for one or more continuous covariates. By removing the portion of outcome variance explained by the co...

APARCH

APARCH, introduced by Ding, Granger, and Engle (1993) while studying long-memory properties of stock market returns, extends the GARCH family by allowing both the power transformation of conditional volatility and an asymmetric response to...

ARCH model

The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volati...

ARCH-LM Test

The ARCH-LM test is Robert Engle's (1982) Lagrange multiplier diagnostic for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in the residuals of a fitted time-series model. It checks whether the error variance changes over time and clusters i...

ARDL Bounds Test

The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains vali...

ARFIMA Model

ARFIMA is a time series model that captures long-memory behaviour using a fractional differencing parameter d, generalising the integer differencing of ARIMA. It was introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980) and formalised by Hosking (1981) t...

ARIMA

ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins met...

ARIMA model

The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear frame...

ARMA model

The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It...

Accelerated Failure Time Model

The Accelerated Failure Time model is a parametric regression approach to survival analysis — formally reviewed and advocated by L. J. Wei in 1992 — in which covariates act as multiplicative factors that directly stretch or compress the tim...

Accelerometer Cut-Point Calibration

Accelerometer cut-point calibration solves the central translation problem of objective physical-activity measurement: a wearable accelerometer outputs dimensionless 'counts,' but researchers and health guidelines speak in intensities — sed...

Active Life Expectancy Estimation

Active life expectancy (ALE) estimates how many of an older person's remaining years are expected to be lived in an active, independent state — free of disability in basic activities of daily living — as opposed to a dependent state requiri...

Actor-Partner Interdependence Model

The Actor-Partner Interdependence Model (APIM), formalized by Kenny, Kashy, and Cook, is the standard framework for analyzing dyadic data in which two people's outcomes depend on both their own and their partner's characteristics. For each...

Adjusted Boxplot

The Adjusted Boxplot is a robust descriptive tool introduced by Hubert and Vandervieren (2008) that corrects the classical IQR-based boxplot for skewness using the medcouple statistic, reducing the false labelling of outliers in asymmetric...

Age-Crime Curve Modeling

Age-crime curve modeling fits statistical functions to the well-known relationship between age and offending: crime rises sharply in adolescence, peaks in the late teens or early twenties, and declines through adulthood. Brought to prominen...

Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Age-period-cohort (APC) analysis decomposes variation in disease or mortality rates into three temporal components: the effect of age (biological and accumulated risk), the effect of period (influences hitting everyone alive at a given cale...

Age-Period-Cohort Model

The age-period-cohort (APC) model decomposes variation in a vital rate — mortality, incidence, fertility — into three temporal dimensions: the age of individuals, the calendar period of observation, and the birth cohort to which they belong...

Agricultural Household Model

The agricultural household model treats the farm household as a single unit that is simultaneously a producer and a consumer, choosing how much to grow, how much labour to hire or supply, and how much to consume — decisions that ordinary fi...

Agricultural Market Integration Analysis

Agricultural market integration analysis asks whether prices for the same commodity in geographically separated markets move together — and how quickly and symmetrically a price change in one market is transmitted to another. Martin Ravalli...

Aligned Rank Transform ANOVA

The Aligned Rank Transform ANOVA (ART-ANOVA) is a nonparametric factorial hypothesis test that detects main effects and interactions in designs with two or more independent variables, without requiring normality. The procedure was formalize...

Almost Ideal Demand System

The Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS), introduced by Angus Deaton and John Muellbauer in 1980, is the workhorse flexible demand system in applied microeconomics. It models each good's budget share as a linear function of the logarithms of a...

Altman Z-Score

The Altman Z-Score is a linear discriminant model developed by Edward I. Altman in 1968 to predict corporate bankruptcy using five accounting-based financial ratios. Derived through multiple discriminant analysis on a matched sample of 66 U...